Estimation of disruption risk exposure in supply chains

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle


The purpose of the paper is to provide more knowledge on how to
estimate disruption risk exposure in the supply chain by developing a
conceptual estimation model. The purpose is also to shortly illustrate and
discuss by help of a case the possibilities to adapt this theoretical model for use
in everyday practice.<br>
The developed model, which links disruption risk to disruption source,
covers all flow-related disruption risks in the total supply chain from natural
resources to delivered final product, seen from the angle of an individual focal
unit in the supply chain. The model classifies the risk exposure into 15 different
risk exposure boxes, of which 12 have ‘expected result impact’ and three have
‘known result impact’, providing a total negative result impact.<br>
The positioning of the model against other theoretical models revealed that
the developed model presents a more complete and partly new structure for
estimation of disruption risk exposure.


Research areas and keywords

Subject classification (UKÄ) – MANDATORY

  • Transport Systems and Logistics
  • Business Administration


  • business continuity, business continuity management, BCM, business continuity planning, conceptual model, disruptions, disruption riskexposure, disruption source, resilience, risk estimation, risk exposure, riskhandling, supply chain, supply chain flow, supply chain management, supplychain risk management, SCRM.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1-19
Number of pages19
JournalInternational Journal of Business Continuity and Risk Management
Issue number1
StatePublished - 2011
Publication categoryResearch

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