A biomarker profile of elevated CSF p-tau with normal tau PET is associated with increased tau accumulation rates on PET in early Alzheimer’s disease

Background: Different tau biomarkers become abnormal at different stages of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), with CSF p-tau typically being elevated at subthreshold levels of tau-PET binding. To capitalize on the temporal order of tau biomarker-abnormality and capture the earliest changes of tau accumulation, we selected a group of amyloid-β-positive (A+) individuals with elevated CSF p-tau levels but negative tau-PET scans and assessed longitudinal changes in tau-PET, cortical thickness and cognitive decline. Method: Individuals without dementia (i.e., cognitively unimpaired (CU) or mild cognitive impairment, n=231) were selected from the BioFINDER-2 study. These subjects were categorized into biomarker groups based on Gaussian mixture modelling to determine cut-offs for abnormal CSF Aβ42/40 (A; <0.078), CSF p-tau₂₁₇ (P; >110 pg/ml) and [¹⁸F]RO948 tau-PET SUVR within a temporal meta-ROI (T; SUVR >1.40). Resulting groups were: A+P-T- (concordant, n=30), A+P+T- (discordant, n=48) and A+P+T+ (concordant, n=18). We additionally used 135 A- CU individuals (A- CU) as a reference group (Tables 1 and 2). Differences in annual change in regional tau-PET SUVR, cortical thickness and cognition between the A+P+T- group and the other groups were assessed using general linear models, adjusted for age, sex, clinical diagnosis and (for cognitive measures) education. Result: Longitudinal change in tau-PET was faster in the A+P+T- group than in the A- CU and A+P-T- groups across medial temporal and neocortical regions, with the medial temporal increases being more pronounced. The A+P+T- group showed slower rate of increases in tau-PET compared to the A+P+T+ group, primarily in neocortical regions (Figures 1 and 2). We did not detect differences in yearly change in cortical thickness (Figure 3) or in cognitive decline (Figure 3) between the A+P+T- and A+P-T- groups. The A+P+T+ group, however, showed faster cognitive decline compared to all other groups. Conclusion: These findings suggest that the A+P+T- biomarker profile is associated with early tau accumulation, and with relative sparing of cortical thinning and cognitive decline compared to A+P+T+ individuals. Therefore, the A+P+T- group represents an interesting target-group for early anti-tau interventions and for examining the emergence of tau aggregates in early AD.