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Abstract
A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC sampler with so-called "data cloning" for maximum likelihood estimation. Accuracy of ABC methods relies on the use of a small threshold value for comparing simulations from the model and observed data. The proposed methodology shows how to use large threshold values, while the number of data-clones is increased to ease convergence towards an approximate maximum likelihood estimate. We show how to exploit the methodology to reduce the number of iterations of a standard ABC-MCMC algorithm and therefore reduce the computational effort, while obtaining reasonable point estimates. Simulation studies show the good performance of our approach on models with intractable likelihoods such as g-and-k distributions, stochastic differential equations and state-space models.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 166-183 |
Number of pages | 18 |
Journal | Computational Statistics & Data Analysis |
Volume | 105 |
Early online date | 2016 Aug 19 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2017 |
Subject classification (UKÄ)
- Probability Theory and Statistics
Free keywords
- Approximate Bayesian computation
- Intractable likelihood
- MCMC
- State-space model
- Stochastic differential equation
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Stochastic modelling of protein folding and likelihood-free statistical inference methods
Picchini, U. (PI), Forman, J. (Assistant supervisor), Lindorff-Larsen, K. (Assistant supervisor) & Wiqvist, S. (Research student)
2015/01/01 → …
Project: Research