Drylands as frontlines of adaptation: A shift away from the climate-conflict narrative

Drylands account for a disproportionate share of the world’s armed conflicts, a pattern frequently interpreted through the lens of resource scarcity– where climate change and water stress are seen as primary drivers of violence. While this framing underscores critical environmental pressures, it risks simplifying the complex social, ecological and political realities of these regions. This article critically examines the climate-conflict narrative surrounding Syria, which posits that drought-induced agricultural collapse and rural outmigration significantly contributed to the onset of civil war. Building on this critique, the paper advocates for a broader conceptual shift– viewing drylands not solely as zones of vulnerability, but as landscapes of endurance. In these regions, communities often navigate both extreme climatic conditions and chronic insecurity, which together constrain agricultural productivity and perpetuate poverty. This perspective highlights the adaptive capacities of dryland populations and the lessons they offer for understanding survival under compound stress. It also challenges dominant narratives and opens space for interdisciplinary approaches that integrate quantitative and qualitative perspectives. The article calls for a more nuanced research agenda that centers lived experience, long-term adaptation and the interplay between environmental and political pressures.