Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this study is to develop scenarios exploring information sharing in supply chains in 2025.
Design/methodology/approach
An intuitive-logic scenario planning technique was used to create images of plausible futures for information sharing in supply chains. A salient feature of this qualitative study is its inductive reasoning where empirical data was collected from semi-structured interviews with thirteen selected respondents.
Findings
The analysis resulted in identifying three unpredictable trends influencing information sharing, i.e. increased co-operation beyond supply chains, continued economic growth of Asia, and decreased social contact and reluctance to organisational change. These trends are used in three scenario crosses, each generating four scenarios. To support these 12 scenarios a base scenario is developed describing information sharing conditions in 2025 from that vantage point.
Research limitations/implications
The applicability of the developed scenarios need to be tested in organisations by creating visions of desired futures, identifying development areas and strategies, and taking actions on developed plans.
Practical implications
For practitioners this study can be used as a means for understanding plausible futures and coming events. Moreover, it provides a foundation for decision support and preparedness for an uncertain future, thus providing insights for risk management and long-term planning and strategy building.
Original/value
This study develops scenarios offering insights into plausible futures, events, and developments that can impact information sharing in supply chains in 2025.
The purpose of this study is to develop scenarios exploring information sharing in supply chains in 2025.
Design/methodology/approach
An intuitive-logic scenario planning technique was used to create images of plausible futures for information sharing in supply chains. A salient feature of this qualitative study is its inductive reasoning where empirical data was collected from semi-structured interviews with thirteen selected respondents.
Findings
The analysis resulted in identifying three unpredictable trends influencing information sharing, i.e. increased co-operation beyond supply chains, continued economic growth of Asia, and decreased social contact and reluctance to organisational change. These trends are used in three scenario crosses, each generating four scenarios. To support these 12 scenarios a base scenario is developed describing information sharing conditions in 2025 from that vantage point.
Research limitations/implications
The applicability of the developed scenarios need to be tested in organisations by creating visions of desired futures, identifying development areas and strategies, and taking actions on developed plans.
Practical implications
For practitioners this study can be used as a means for understanding plausible futures and coming events. Moreover, it provides a foundation for decision support and preparedness for an uncertain future, thus providing insights for risk management and long-term planning and strategy building.
Original/value
This study develops scenarios offering insights into plausible futures, events, and developments that can impact information sharing in supply chains in 2025.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | 23rd Annual NOFOMA Conference |
Editors | Trond Hammervoll |
Publisher | Harstad University College |
Pages | 457-472 |
Number of pages | 16 |
Publication status | Published - 2011 |
Event | 23rd annual NOFOMA conference, 2011 - Harstad, Norway Duration: 2011 Jun 9 → 2011 Jun 10 Conference number: 23 |
Conference
Conference | 23rd annual NOFOMA conference, 2011 |
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Country/Territory | Norway |
City | Harstad |
Period | 2011/06/09 → 2011/06/10 |
Subject classification (UKÄ)
- Other Mechanical Engineering
Free keywords
- Scenario development
- Information sharing
- Scenario planning
- Supply chain
- packaging logistics