Flood risk assessment under population growth and urban land use change in Matola, Mozambique

José Lourenço Neves; Tanja Katharina Sellick; Abdulghani Hasan; Petter Pilesjö

doi:10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133

Flood risk assessment under population growth and urban land use change in Matola, Mozambique

José Lourenço Neves, Tanja Katharina Sellick, Abdulghani Hasan, Petter Pilesjö

MECW: The Middle East in the Contemporary World

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Matola, a major Mozambican city, has witnessed flooding, mainly caused by rainfall. The study aims to produce flood-hazard and flood-risk maps for Matola using the hydrological model TFM-DYN. For 2000, 2020, and 2040, the modeled extent of medium-risk area is 50.6 km² (13.7%), 44.8 km² (12.2%), and 39.0 km² (10.6%) and of high-risk area is 43.3 km² (11.8%), 31.8 km² (8.6%), and 28.9 km² (7.8%), respectively. In 2000, 61,978.4 inhabitants were exposed to medium-risk and 53,036.8 to high-risk. In 2020, 130,628.3 inhabitants were vulnerable to medium-risk and 92,722.8 to high-risk. By 2040, 203,999.8 inhabitants will face medium-risk and 151,169.1 high-flood-risk.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	539-559
Journal	African Geographical Review
Volume	42
Issue number	5
Early online date	2022
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133
Publication status	Published - 2023

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 15 Life on Land

Subject classification (UKÄ)

Earth and Related Environmental Sciences

Free keywords

Flood hazard
flood risk
matola

Access to Document

10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133

Cite this

@article{ba84e58f74424b81b743e18b1d5a95fb,

title = "Flood risk assessment under population growth and urban land use change in Matola, Mozambique",

abstract = "Matola, a major Mozambican city, has witnessed flooding, mainly caused by rainfall. The study aims to produce flood-hazard and flood-risk maps for Matola using the hydrological model TFM-DYN. For 2000, 2020, and 2040, the modeled extent of medium-risk area is 50.6 km2 (13.7\%), 44.8 km2 (12.2\%), and 39.0 km2 (10.6\%) and of high-risk area is 43.3 km2 (11.8\%), 31.8 km2 (8.6\%), and 28.9 km2 (7.8\%), respectively. In 2000, 61,978.4 inhabitants were exposed to medium-risk and 53,036.8 to high-risk. In 2020, 130,628.3 inhabitants were vulnerable to medium-risk and 92,722.8 to high-risk. By 2040, 203,999.8 inhabitants will face medium-risk and 151,169.1 high-flood-risk.",

keywords = "Flood hazard, flood risk, matola",

author = "Neves, \{Jos{\'e} Louren{\c c}o\} and Sellick, \{Tanja Katharina\} and Abdulghani Hasan and Petter Pilesj{\"o}",

year = "2023",

doi = "10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133",

language = "English",

volume = "42",

pages = "539--559",

journal = "African Geographical Review",

issn = "1937-6812",

publisher = "Taylor \& Francis",

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TY - JOUR

T1 - Flood risk assessment under population growth and urban land use change in Matola, Mozambique

AU - Neves, José Lourenço

AU - Sellick, Tanja Katharina

AU - Hasan, Abdulghani

AU - Pilesjö, Petter

PY - 2023

Y1 - 2023

N2 - Matola, a major Mozambican city, has witnessed flooding, mainly caused by rainfall. The study aims to produce flood-hazard and flood-risk maps for Matola using the hydrological model TFM-DYN. For 2000, 2020, and 2040, the modeled extent of medium-risk area is 50.6 km2 (13.7%), 44.8 km2 (12.2%), and 39.0 km2 (10.6%) and of high-risk area is 43.3 km2 (11.8%), 31.8 km2 (8.6%), and 28.9 km2 (7.8%), respectively. In 2000, 61,978.4 inhabitants were exposed to medium-risk and 53,036.8 to high-risk. In 2020, 130,628.3 inhabitants were vulnerable to medium-risk and 92,722.8 to high-risk. By 2040, 203,999.8 inhabitants will face medium-risk and 151,169.1 high-flood-risk.

AB - Matola, a major Mozambican city, has witnessed flooding, mainly caused by rainfall. The study aims to produce flood-hazard and flood-risk maps for Matola using the hydrological model TFM-DYN. For 2000, 2020, and 2040, the modeled extent of medium-risk area is 50.6 km2 (13.7%), 44.8 km2 (12.2%), and 39.0 km2 (10.6%) and of high-risk area is 43.3 km2 (11.8%), 31.8 km2 (8.6%), and 28.9 km2 (7.8%), respectively. In 2000, 61,978.4 inhabitants were exposed to medium-risk and 53,036.8 to high-risk. In 2020, 130,628.3 inhabitants were vulnerable to medium-risk and 92,722.8 to high-risk. By 2040, 203,999.8 inhabitants will face medium-risk and 151,169.1 high-flood-risk.

KW - Flood hazard

KW - flood risk

KW - matola

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85131009754

U2 - 10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133

DO - 10.1080/19376812.2022.2076133

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85131009754

SN - 1937-6812

VL - 42

SP - 539

EP - 559

JO - African Geographical Review

JF - African Geographical Review

IS - 5

ER -

Flood risk assessment under population growth and urban land use change in Matola, Mozambique

Abstract

UN SDGs

Subject classification (UKÄ)

Free keywords

Access to Document

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