Intelligent, Flexible production in an Energy System Dominated by Renewables.

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Abstract

It is well known that the electricity price varies between days but also within
the day, sometimes even resulting in negative prices. Flexible production units
could take advantage of those variations by adapting the production accordingly. However, few studies exists that compare the cost effectiveness of different types of production units while taking these within day price variations into account.
This paper studies intelligent, flexible production units in comparison to statically scheduled units in the context of the scandinavian power system.
Specifically, we study production of ammonia, a chemical process that only uses air, water and electricity. The ammonia can be used as fuel or to produce
nitrogen fertilizers. We derive optimal production strategies for such unit using Model Predictive Control.
The strategies were evaluated on historical data from Nord Pool. We found
that the Nord Pool region in general and DK1 in particular is well suited for production of ammonia, due to the relatively low cost for electricity. Furthermore, the results improve substantialy when considering flexible strategies that can benefit from the variability in the electricity price.
Original languageSwedish
Title of host publicationSymposium i anvendt statistik
Subtitle of host publication22.-24. januar 2018
Place of PublicationCopenhagen
Pages23-31
Publication statusPublished - 2018 Jan 22
EventDet 40 symposium i anvendt statistik - Bülowsvej 17, Frederiksberg, Københavns Universitet, Festauditoriet, Copenhagen, Denmark
Duration: 2018 Jan 222018 Jan 24
http://www.statistiksymposium.dk/prog40symposium.pdf

Conference

ConferenceDet 40 symposium i anvendt statistik
Country/TerritoryDenmark
CityCopenhagen
Period2018/01/222018/01/24
Internet address

Subject classification (UKÄ)

  • Probability Theory and Statistics

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