Real options valuation principle in the multi-period base-stock problem

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the multi-period base-stock problem where there is a financial risk associated with a stochastic demand. For the single-period problem, it is known that the optimal inventory policy can be obtained with the Black and Scholes option pricing formula. This paper pushes the analysis further by applying the options valuation framework to the multi-period problem and presenting an algorithm for finding the optimal inventory policy. A computational study indicates that the effect of systematic risk is typically negligible (as for the single-period problem). Therefore, it can be concluded that systematic risk in demand is of little importance for optimal inventory control.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1086-1095
JournalOmega: the International Journal of Management Science
Volume36
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2008

Subject classification (UKÄ)

  • Transport Systems and Logistics

Free keywords

  • cost benefit analysis newsboy problem
  • inventory theory
  • risk

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