Risk analysis and fire safety engineering

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


The paper demonstrates how two quantitative risk analysis (QRA) methods may be used to evaluate the risk to which the occupants of a building may be subjected if a fire breaks out. The methods (standard QRA and extended QRA) differ in terms of how uncertainties in the variables are considered. The extended QRA explicitly considers uncertainty as it is a part of the methodology. The standard QRA has to be complemented with a sensitivity analysis to fully provide insight into the uncertainty inherent in the scenario. Both methods are applied to a calculation example determining the societal risk for a hospital ward. The analyses are performed as Monte Carlo simulations.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)313-329
JournalFire Safety Journal
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - 1998

Subject classification (UKÄ)

  • Other Civil Engineering
  • Building Technologies

Free keywords

  • Monte Carlo
  • Risk evaluation
  • Risk analysis
  • Event tree
  • Fire
  • Evacuation


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