Stochastic differential mixed-effects models

Umberto Picchini, Andrea De Gaetano, Susanne Ditlevsen

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Abstract

Stochastic differential equations have been shown useful in describing random continuous time processes. Biomedical experiments often imply repeated measurements on a series of experimental units and differences between units can be represented by incorporating random effects into the model. When both system noise and random effects are considered, stochastic differential mixed-effects models ensue. This class of models enables the simultaneous representation of randomness in the dynamics of the phenomena being considered and variability between experimental units, thus providing a powerful modelling tool with immediate applications in biomedicine and pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic studies. In most cases the likelihood function is not available, and thus maximum likelihood estimation of the unknown parameters is not possible. Here we propose a computationally fast approximated maximum likelihood procedure for the estimation of the non-random parameters and the random effects. The method is evaluated on simulations from some famous diffusion processes and on real data sets
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)67-90
JournalScandinavian Journal of Statistics
Volume37
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2010
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

A post-publication correction to some editorial typos is available as "Corrigendum" with DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9469.2010.00692.x

Subject classification (UKÄ)

  • Probability Theory and Statistics

Free keywords

  • biomedical applications
  • Brownian motion with drift
  • CIR process
  • closed-form transition density expansion
  • Gaussian quadrature
  • geometric Brownian motion
  • maximum likelihood estimation
  • Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process
  • random parameters
  • stochastic differential equations

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