TY - JOUR
T1 - The dry season intensity as a key driver of NPP trends
AU - Murray-Tortarolo, Guillermo
AU - Friedlingstein, Pierre
AU - Sitch, Stephen
AU - Seneviratne, Sonia I.
AU - Fletcher, Imogen
AU - Mueller, Brigitte
AU - Greve, Peter
AU - Anav, Alessandro
AU - Liu, Yi
AU - Ahlström, Anders
AU - Huntingford, Chris
AU - Levis, Sam
AU - Levy, Peter
AU - Lomas, Mark
AU - Poulter, Benjamin
AU - Viovy, Nicholas
AU - Zaehle, Sonke
AU - Zeng, Ning
PY - 2016
Y1 - 2016
N2 - We analyze the impacts of changing dry season length and intensity on vegetation productivity and biomass. Our results show a wetness asymmetry in dry ecosystems, with dry seasons becoming drier and wet seasons becoming wetter, likely caused by climate change. The increasingly intense dry seasons were consistently correlated with a decreasing trend in net primary productivity (NPP) and biomass from different products and could potentially mean a reduction of 10–13% in NPP by 2100. We found that annual NPP in dry ecosystems is particularly sensitive to the intensity of the dry season, whereas an increase in precipitation during the wet season has a smaller effect. We conclude that changes in water availability over the dry season affect vegetation throughout the whole year, driving changes in regional NPP. Moreover, these results suggest that usage of seasonal water fluxes is necessary to improve our understanding of the link between water availability and the land carbon cycle.
AB - We analyze the impacts of changing dry season length and intensity on vegetation productivity and biomass. Our results show a wetness asymmetry in dry ecosystems, with dry seasons becoming drier and wet seasons becoming wetter, likely caused by climate change. The increasingly intense dry seasons were consistently correlated with a decreasing trend in net primary productivity (NPP) and biomass from different products and could potentially mean a reduction of 10–13% in NPP by 2100. We found that annual NPP in dry ecosystems is particularly sensitive to the intensity of the dry season, whereas an increase in precipitation during the wet season has a smaller effect. We conclude that changes in water availability over the dry season affect vegetation throughout the whole year, driving changes in regional NPP. Moreover, these results suggest that usage of seasonal water fluxes is necessary to improve our understanding of the link between water availability and the land carbon cycle.
KW - dry season length land carbon cycle drought 0428 Carbon cycling 1630 Impacts of global change 1655 Water cycles 1615 Biogeochemical cycles, processes, and modeling 1616 Climate variability
U2 - 10.1002/2016GL068240
DO - 10.1002/2016GL068240
M3 - Artikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift
SN - 1944-8007
VL - 43
SP - 2632
EP - 2639
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
IS - 6
ER -