The tenets of indirect inference in Bayesian models

Dmytro Perepolkin, Benjamin Goodrich, Ullrika Sahlin

Research output: Other contributionMiscellaneousResearch

Abstract

This paper extends the application of Bayesian inference to probability distributions defined in terms of its quantile function. We describe the method of *indirect likelihood* to be used in the Bayesian models with sampling distributions which lack an explicit cumulative distribution function. We provide examples and demonstrate the equivalence of the "quantile-based" (indirect) likelihood to the conventional "density-defined" (direct) likelihood. We consider practical aspects of the numerical inversion of quantile function by root-finding required by the indirect likelihood method. In particular, we consider a problem of ensuring the validity of an arbitrary quantile function with the help of Chebyshev polynomials and provide useful tips and implementation of these algorithms in Stan and R. We also extend the same method to propose the definition of an *indirect prior* and discuss the situations where it can be useful.
Original languageEnglish
PublisherOSF
Number of pages36
Place of Publication10.31219/osf.io/enzgs
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 2021 Sept 10

Subject classification (UKÄ)

  • Probability Theory and Statistics

Free keywords

  • Bayesian Inference
  • Quantile function
  • quantile distribution

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'The tenets of indirect inference in Bayesian models'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this