Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa

Kirsten Thonicke, Arneth Almut, Wolfgang Knorr, Minchao Wu, Nikolaos Fyllas

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingBook chapter

Abstract

Under climate change conditions, climatic wildfire danger could also increase in ecosystems not dominated by fires until now. This increasing trend could lead to more area burned in the future. We have developed an algorithm to map new fire-prone areas in Europe and Northern Africa that identifies grid points where a rare fire event is becoming the mean at the end of the 21st century. When applying the model to simulated changes in future fire regimes it revealed that these new fire-prone areas would be found mostly in Eastern Europe. Depending on the climate scenario and vegetation-fire model used, it could also extend to central and South-Eastern Europe.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationForest fires under climate, social and economic changes in Europe, the Mediterranean and other fire-affected areas of the world
EditorsJosé M. Moreno
Place of PublicationToledo
PublisherFUME
Pages34-35
Number of pages2
ISBN (Electronic)978-84-695-9759-0
Publication statusPublished - 2014 Jan 1

Subject classification (UKÄ)

  • Earth and Related Environmental Sciences

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this