Traffic demand and longer term forecasting from real-time observations

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingPaper in conference proceedingpeer-review

Abstract

We optimize traffic signal timing sequences for a section of a traffic net-
work in order to reduce congestion based on anticipated demand. The system relies
on the accuracy of the predicted traffic demand in time and space which is carried
out by a neural network. Specifically, we design, train, and evaluate three different
neural network models and assert their capability to describe demand from traffic
cameras. To train these neural networks we create location specific time series data
by approximating vehicle densities from camera images. Each image passes through
a cascade of filtering methods and provides a traffic density estimate corresponding
to the camera location at that specific time. The system is showcased using real-time
camera images from the traffic network of Goteborg. We specifically test this system
in reducing congestion for a small section of the traffic network. To facilitate the
learning and resulting prediction we collected images from cameras in that network
over a couple of months. We then use the neural network to produce forecasts of traffic
demand and adjust the traffic signals within that section. To simulate how congestion
will evolve once the traffic signals are adjusted we implement an advanced stochastic
model.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationITISE 2019 International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of Papers 25-27 September 2019 Granada (Spain)
EditorsOlga Valenzuela, Fernando Rojas, Hector Pomares, Ignacio Rojas
Pages1247-1259
ISBN (Electronic)978-84-17970-78-9
Publication statusPublished - 2019 Sept 19
Event6th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting - Granada, Spain
Duration: 2019 Sept 252019 Sept 27
Conference number: 6

Conference

Conference6th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting
Abbreviated titleITISE 2019
Country/TerritorySpain
CityGranada
Period2019/09/252019/09/27

Subject classification (UKÄ)

  • Transport Systems and Logistics

Free keywords

  • traffic demnad
  • forecasting
  • lstm
  • gru
  • saes
  • image processing
  • time series

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