Abstract
During the whole evacuation modelling process, there are uncertainties in every task. To date, scarce literature is available on the assessment of those uncertainties and evacuation model users generally do not present this information consistently (if omitted at all) in evacuation modelling studies. Considering the classification made in other modelling fields (e.g. fire modelling), uncertainties are distributed along three main steps of evacuation modelling, namely: 1) definition of the input, 2) the evacuation modelling per se, 3) the analysis of the output. This paper focuses on identifying and classifying the uncertainties in these three steps. This paper presents different solutions to address evacuation modelling uncertainties, such as the use of Design of Experiments (DoE) techniques and the use of functional analysis.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | [Host publication title missing] |
| Editors | Karen Boyce |
| Publisher | Interscience Communications Ltd |
| Pages | 185-196 |
| ISBN (Print) | 978-0-9933933-0-3 |
| Publication status | Published - 2015 |
| Event | 6th international symposium: Human Behaviour in Fire, 2015 - Cambridge, United Kingdom Duration: 2015 Sept 28 → 2015 Sept 30 Conference number: 6 |
Conference
| Conference | 6th international symposium: Human Behaviour in Fire, 2015 |
|---|---|
| Country/Territory | United Kingdom |
| City | Cambridge |
| Period | 2015/09/28 → 2015/09/30 |
Subject classification (UKÄ)
- Civil Engineering
Free keywords
- Evacuation
- modelling
- Egress
- uncertainty