A Comprehensive Approach to the Measurement of Macroeconomic Challenges and Opportunities

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingBook chapter

Abstract

In this chapter we emphasize the importance of recognizing the interdependence among exchange rates, interest rates and inflation rates in measuring corporate exposure. First, several issues relating to management’s views of the macroeconomic environment, as well as the firm’s objective and structure will be discussed. These issues must be addressed before multiple regression analysis can be implemented with the purpose of estimating exposures. Volvo Cars is then used to illustrate how economic exposure to exchange rates and other macroeconomic variables is estimated using quarterly cashflows as the firm’s target variable. The use of cash flow exposure coefficients for evaluating exposure and choosing currency denomination of liabilities is discussed, and an out-of-sample analysis of the estimated exposure coefficients is carried out.

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Authors
Research areas and keywords

Subject classification (UKÄ) – MANDATORY

  • Economics and Business
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationRisk Management,.Challenges and Opportunities
EditorsMichael Frenkel, Ulrich Hommel, Markus Rudolf
PublisherSpringer
Pages513-536
ISBN (Print)978-3-540-26993-9
Publication statusPublished - 2004
Publication categoryResearch
Peer-reviewedYes