Germline mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2 and ten-year survival for women diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle


PURPOSE: To analyze the effect of germline mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 on mortality in patients with ovarian cancer up to 10 years after diagnosis.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We used unpublished survival time data for 2,242 patients from two case-control studies and extended survival time data for 4,314 patients from previously reported studies. All participants had been screened for deleterious germline mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2. Survival time was analyzed for the combined data using Cox proportional hazard models with BRCA1 and BRCA2 as time-varying covariates. Competing risks were analyzed using Fine and Gray model.

RESULTS: The combined 10-year overall survival rate was 30% [95% confidence interval (CI), 28%-31%] for non-carriers, 25% (95% CI, 22%-28%) for BRCA1 carriers, and 35% (95% CI, 30%-41%) for BRCA2 carriers. The HR for BRCA1 was 0.53 at time zero and increased over time becoming greater than one at 4.8 years. For BRCA2, the HR was 0.42 at time zero and increased over time (predicted to become greater than 1 at 10.5 years). The results were similar when restricted to 3,202 patients with high-grade serous tumors and to ovarian cancer-specific mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: BRCA1/2 mutations are associated with better short-term survival, but this advantage decreases over time and in BRCA1 carriers is eventually reversed. This may have important implications for therapy of both primary and relapsed disease and for analysis of long-term survival in clinical trials of new agents, particularly those that are effective in BRCA1/2 mutation carriers.


  • Francisco J Candido-dos-Reis
  • Honglin Song
  • Ellen L Goode
  • Julie M Cunningham
  • Brooke L Fridley
  • Melissa C Larson
  • Kathryn Alsop
  • Ed Dicks
  • Patricia Harrington
  • Susan J Ramus
  • Anna de Fazio
  • Gillian Mitchell
  • Sian Fereday
  • Kelly L Bolton
  • Charlie Gourley
  • Caroline Michie
  • Beth Karlan
  • Jenny Lester
  • Christine Walsh
  • Ilana Cass
  • Håkan Olsson
  • Martin Gore
  • Javier J Benitez
  • Maria J Garcia
  • Irene Andrulis
  • Anna Marie Mulligan
  • Gord Glendon
  • Ignacio Blanco
  • Conxi Lazaro
  • Alice S Whittemore
  • Valerie McGuire
  • Weiva Sieh
  • Marco Montagna
  • Elisa Alducci
  • Siegal Sadetzki
  • Angela Chetrit
  • Ava Kwong
  • Susanne K Kjaer
  • Allan Jensen
  • Estrid Høgdall
  • Susan Neuhausen
  • Robert Nussbaum
  • Mary Daly
  • Mark H Greene
  • Phuong L Mai
  • Jennifer T Loud
  • Kirsten Moysich
  • Amanda E Toland
  • Diether Lambrechts
  • Steve Ellis
  • for EMBRACE
External organisations
  • University of São Paulo
  • Mayo Clinic Minnesota
  • University of Kansas Medical Center
  • University of Sydney
  • National Cancer Institute, USA
  • University of Edinburgh
  • Ninewells Hospital and Medical School
  • Cedars-Sinai Medical Center
  • Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust
  • Spanish National Cancer Research Center (CNIO)
  • University of Toronto
  • Catalan Institute of Oncology
  • Stanford University
  • Veneto Institute of Oncology
  • Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research
  • Hong Kong Sanatorium & Hospital
  • Danish Cancer Society Research Center
  • University of Copenhagen
  • Beckman Research Institute of City of Hope
  • University of California, San Francisco
  • Fox Chase Cancer Center
  • Roswell Park Cancer Institute
  • Ohio State University
  • Catholic University of Leuven
  • University of Cambridge
  • Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre
  • University of Southern California
Research areas and keywords

Subject classification (UKÄ) – MANDATORY

  • Cancer and Oncology


  • Aged, Female, Genes, BRCA1, Genes, BRCA2, Germ-Line Mutation, Humans, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Grading, Neoplasm Staging, Neoplasms, Glandular and Epithelial, Ovarian Neoplasms, Prognosis, Survival Analysis, Journal Article, Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't, Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)652-7
Number of pages6
JournalClinical Cancer Research
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 2015 Feb 1
Publication categoryResearch