Uncertainty and the Great Slump
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
Abstract
This article investigates the impact of economic policy uncertainty on the British interwar economy. The first type of evidence examined is qualitative. The historical record shows that contemporaries regularly reported the incidence and consequences of major uncertainty shocks. The second type of evidence analysed is quantitative. Based on a new index of economic policy uncertainty constructed from newspapers and vector autoregressions, the results suggest that uncertainty was an important source of economic fluctuations in Britain between the wars.
Details
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Research areas and keywords | Subject classification (UKÄ) – MANDATORY
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Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 844-867 |
Journal | Economic History Review |
Volume | 73 |
Issue number | 3 |
Early online date | 2020 Apr 3 |
Publication status | Published - 2020 Jul 15 |
Publication category | Research |
Peer-reviewed | Yes |