Antagonistens roll: Vad Napoleon och KGB kan lära oss om beslutsfattandets konst inom militär ledning och underrättelseanalys

Forskningsoutput: TidskriftsbidragArtikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift

Abstract

Professionalization is a growing trend in both military and intelligence organizations. However, unlike the traditional professions, both military decision-makers and intelligence analysts frequently find themselves locked in a struggle with an intelligent antagonist. One key aspect of professionalization, the teaching of structured, scientifically based knowledge and best practices, can lead to predictability. This creates a vulnerability that can be exploited by an antagonist. Using theories formulated by Clausewitz and Sun Tzu, together with examples from Napoleon’s campaign in Northern Italy and the KGB’s deception operation to conceal a mole in the CIA, it is shown how personal qualities, creativity and unpredictability rather than conformity are required to prevail against an intelligent, well-informed and capable antagonist. Thus, both the military decision-maker and the intelligence analyst have more in common with the chess player than the traditional professional.

Detaljer

Författare
Enheter & grupper
Forskningsområden

Ämnesklassifikation (UKÄ) – OBLIGATORISK

  • Statsvetenskap

Nyckelord

  • beslutsfattande, KGB, Napoleon, professioner, underrättelseanalys, militärt beslutsfattande, militär profession
Originalspråksvenska
Sidor (från-till)655-668
TidskriftStatsvetenskaplig tidskrift
Volym122
Utgåva nummer4
StatusPublished - 2020 dec 31
PublikationskategoriForskning
Peer review utfördJa