Antagonistens roll: Vad Napoleon och KGB kan lära oss om beslutsfattandets konst inom militär ledning och underrättelseanalys

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title = "Antagonistens roll: Vad Napoleon och KGB kan l{\"a}ra oss om beslutsfattandets konst inom milit{\"a}r ledning och underr{\"a}ttelseanalys",
abstract = "Professionalization is a growing trend in both military and intelligence organizations. However, unlike the traditional professions, both military decision-makers and intelligence analysts frequently find themselves locked in a struggle with an intelligent antagonist. One key aspect of professionalization, the teaching of structured, scientifically based knowledge and best practices, can lead to predictability. This creates a vulnerability that can be exploited by an antagonist. Using theories formulated by Clausewitz and Sun Tzu, together with examples from Napoleon{\textquoteright}s campaign in Northern Italy and the KGB{\textquoteright}s deception operation to conceal a mole in the CIA, it is shown how personal qualities, creativity and unpredictability rather than conformity are required to prevail against an intelligent, well-informed and capable antagonist. Thus, both the military decision-maker and the intelligence analyst have more in common with the chess player than the traditional professional.",
keywords = "beslutsfattande, KGB, Napoleon, professioner, underr{\"a}ttelseanalys, milit{\"a}rt beslutsfattande, milit{\"a}r profession",
author = "Tony Ingesson",
year = "2020",
month = dec,
day = "31",
language = "svenska",
volume = "122",
pages = "655--668",
journal = "Statsvetenskaplig tidskrift",
issn = "0039-0747",
publisher = "Fahlbeckska stiftelsen",
number = "4",