Some Influencing Factors For Passenger Train Punctuality In Sweden

Forskningsoutput: TidskriftsbidragArtikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift


Punctuality is regarded as an important measure of the performance of a railway system, and is the one most commonly used and discussed measureboth in the industry and among travelers. In many countries,the punctuality of trains, and thus the performance of the railway system, is deemed as lacking. The aim of this article is to study and quantify how severalweather-,timetable, operational and infrastructure-related variables influence punctuality in passenger train traffic. Thiscan contribute tobetter understanding of the performance of railway systems, and help identify possible improvements.The study is based on a dataset containing detailed timetables and records of all 32.4 million train movements for all trains in Sweden during the year of 2015, over 1.1 million departures. Supporting this is a comprehensive register of over 80000 infrastructure elements, and almost 87 million weather observations. We consider the size and allocation of margins,the existence of negative margins, two measures for traffic volume, the journey time and distance, how often different vehicleindividuals are used,the number of line and station interactions between trains, theamount of precipitation, the temperature, wind speed, snow depth, and eight types of infrastructure elements. We show how these variables affect punctuality, and estimate how much of the variation in punctuality can be explained by them.The findings can be used to designtimetables, change operational parametersand modify infrastructure designso that punctuality improves. They can also help identify areas which should be prioritized in planning, maintenance and research.


Enheter & grupper
Externa organisationer
  • Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Ämnesklassifikation (UKÄ) – OBLIGATORISK

  • Transportteknik och logistik


  • Järnväg, Tåg, Försening, Orsaker, Punktlighet
Bidragets titel på inmatningsspråkNågra faktorer som påverkar punktligheten för resandetåg i Sverige
Antal sidor13
TidskriftInternational Journal of Prognostics and Health Management
UtgivningsnummerSpecial Issue on Railways & Mass Transportation
StatusPublished - 2017 okt 2
Peer review utfördJa
EvenemangAnnual Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2017 - Hilton St. Petersburg Bayfront, St. Petersburg, USA
Varaktighet: 2017 okt 22017 okt 5
Konferensnummer: 9


Ingen tillgänglig data

Relaterad forskningsoutput

Carl-William Palmqvist, Olsson, N. & Lena Hiselius, 2017 sep 5. 8 s.

Forskningsoutput: KonferensbidragKonferenspaper, ej i proceeding/ej förlagsutgivet

Carl-William Palmqvist, Olsson, N. & Lena Hiselius, 2017 apr 30, I : International Journal of Transport Development and Integration. 1, 3, s. 421-431 10 s., 10.2495/TDI-V1-N3-421-431.

Forskningsoutput: TidskriftsbidragArtikel i vetenskaplig tidskrift

Visa alla (2)

Related projects

Carl-William Palmqvist


Projekt: Uppdragsforskning

Visa alla (1)