TY - JOUR
T1 - The validation of evacuation simulation models through the analysis of behavioural uncertainty
AU - Lovreglio, Ruggiero
AU - Ronchi, Enrico
AU - Borri, Dino
PY - 2014
Y1 - 2014
N2 - Both experimental and simulation data on fire evacuation are influenced by a component of uncertainty caused by the impact of the unexplained variance in human behaviour, namely behavioural uncertainty (BU). Evacuation model validation studies should include the study of this type of uncertainty during the comparison of experiments and simulation results. An evacuation model validation procedure is introduced in this paper to study the impact of BU. This methodology is presented through a case study for the comparison between repeated experimental data and simulation results produced by FDS+Evac, an evacuation model for the simulation of human behaviour in fire, which makes use of distribution laws.
AB - Both experimental and simulation data on fire evacuation are influenced by a component of uncertainty caused by the impact of the unexplained variance in human behaviour, namely behavioural uncertainty (BU). Evacuation model validation studies should include the study of this type of uncertainty during the comparison of experiments and simulation results. An evacuation model validation procedure is introduced in this paper to study the impact of BU. This methodology is presented through a case study for the comparison between repeated experimental data and simulation results produced by FDS+Evac, an evacuation model for the simulation of human behaviour in fire, which makes use of distribution laws.
KW - Evacuation modelling
KW - Model validation
KW - Behavioural uncertainty
KW - Evacuation experiments
KW - FDS+Evac
U2 - 10.1016/j.ress.2014.07.007
DO - 10.1016/j.ress.2014.07.007
M3 - Article
SN - 0951-8320
VL - 131
SP - 166
EP - 174
JO - Reliability Engineering & System Safety
JF - Reliability Engineering & System Safety
ER -