Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa

Kirsten Thonicke, Arneth Almut, Wolfgang Knorr, Minchao Wu, Nikolaos Fyllas

Forskningsoutput: Kapitel i bok/rapport/Conference proceedingKapitel samlingsverkPopulärvetenskap

Sammanfattning

Under climate change conditions, climatic wildfire danger could also increase in ecosystems not dominated by fires until now. This increasing trend could lead to more area burned in the future. We have developed an algorithm to map new fire-prone areas in Europe and Northern Africa that identifies grid points where a rare fire event is becoming the mean at the end of the 21st century. When applying the model to simulated changes in future fire regimes it revealed that these new fire-prone areas would be found mostly in Eastern Europe. Depending on the climate scenario and vegetation-fire model used, it could also extend to central and South-Eastern Europe.
Originalspråkengelska
Titel på värdpublikationForest fires under climate, social and economic changes in Europe, the Mediterranean and other fire-affected areas of the world
RedaktörerJosé M. Moreno
UtgivningsortToledo
FörlagFUME
Sidor34-35
Antal sidor2
ISBN (elektroniskt)978-84-695-9759-0
StatusPublished - 2014 jan. 1

Ämnesklassifikation (UKÄ)

  • Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap

Fingeravtryck

Utforska forskningsämnen för ”Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa”. Tillsammans bildar de ett unikt fingeravtryck.

Citera det här