Uncertainties in evacuation modelling: Current flaws and future improvements

Machado Tavares, Enrico Ronchi

Forskningsoutput: Kapitel i bok/rapport/Conference proceedingKonferenspaper i proceedingPeer review

Sammanfattning

During the whole evacuation modelling process, there are uncertainties in every task. To date, scarce literature is available on the assessment of those uncertainties and evacuation model users generally do not present this information consistently (if omitted at all) in evacuation modelling studies. Considering the classification made in other modelling fields (e.g. fire modelling), uncertainties are distributed along three main steps of evacuation modelling, namely: 1) definition of the input, 2) the evacuation modelling per se, 3) the analysis of the output. This paper focuses on identifying and classifying the uncertainties in these three steps. This paper presents different solutions to address evacuation modelling uncertainties, such as the use of Design of Experiments (DoE) techniques and the use of functional analysis.
Originalspråkengelska
Titel på värdpublikation[Host publication title missing]
RedaktörerKaren Boyce
FörlagInterscience Communications Ltd
Sidor185-196
ISBN (tryckt)978-0-9933933-0-3
StatusPublished - 2015
Evenemang6th international symposium: Human Behaviour in Fire, 2015 - Cambridge, Storbritannien
Varaktighet: 2015 sep. 282015 sep. 30
Konferensnummer: 6

Konferens

Konferens6th international symposium: Human Behaviour in Fire, 2015
Land/TerritoriumStorbritannien
OrtCambridge
Period2015/09/282015/09/30

Ämnesklassifikation (UKÄ)

  • Samhällsbyggnadsteknik

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